Performance Anxiety

If you’re ready to erase the first and last 10 minutes of yesterday’s trading, you’ll see that the S&P 500 barely moved. In effect, the market’s flatness yesterday could have been a new high in its own! Fortunately, there was no lack of movement in individual stocks and the automatic software programs that went into action in the last 10 trading minutes yesterday, sent the S&P 500 to another historic high.

The technical movement points to there still being upside but many stocks need a rest, too. Also, Apple’s big event provided a catalyst to “sell the news” in the stock along with that of its different suppliers.

There are differences of opinion as to whether the new Apple products will encounter fanfare or disappointment among its client base. There’s no question that the announcement was well priced into Apple’s stock and that the selling following the product launch hints at the market not being surprised by its product suite. It’s very possible that correction buyers are already preparing to pounce and buy Apple in the event it falls to support level – and I don’t expect them to be overly patient! The closest support level is $155, the point where the bottom of the latest trading range is situated, which also coincides with the 50 period EMA.

Investors’ concerns about the company revolve around the price of its iPhone X being too high; it also hits shelves in November, later than anticipated. When considering that the stock rallied almost 40% year-to-date, some investors believe that the time has come to translate these gains into cash.

The weakness in Apple could certainly affect index values because of the stock’s sheer weight, but there are other stocks in need of rest. The big question for investors is how to cope with a market that has momentum but that finds itself at overbought levels.

The first important thing to remember is that a market like our’s can’t just shatter in one day’s time. The bears like to believe that the market will suddenly understand that the strength is unfounded, with the market imploding, but things simply don’t work that way! It takes time for the market to peak and usually the market tests this peak at least one additional time.

The bears had hoped that September’s time-tested negative seasonality would give them a tailwind, but in the meantime, that’s been yet to happen – and apparently, it led to errant positions, which only helped to accelerate the latest strength.

One of the big factors helping the market as of now is that very strength which caught a lot of market players off-guard, forcing them to buy in to keep pace. The third quarter is very quickly nearing its end and performance anxiety is pushing fund managers to seek the best course to not be caught behind. Money lying around in cash hurts all the more when the market’s on the uptick and refuses to correct.

Some market players will be enticed to anticipate a reversal after the latest market rally, but tense markets have a tendency to become tenser. Don’t look to jump into the path of an oncoming train, even if you think it will derail.

On the S&P 500, 31 stocks recorded 52-week highs and one stock fell to a new yearly low; on the NASDAQ, 103 stocks recorded new yearly highs, 17 falling to new yearly lows.

About 6.2 billion shares traded hands on U.S. exchanges, above the 5.8 billion average over the last 20 trading days.

Thursday: The Consumer Price Index had been expected to rise only moderately in August, in part because of the light rise in prices at fill-up stations. At the same time, economists expect September’s inflation figures to be a lot hotter in light of the surge in gas prices after Hurricane Harvey. The impact of Harvey and Irma should be felt in weekly unemployment figures which will be released at 8:30 N.Y. time; at the same time, the August Consumer Price Index will be released, the consensus being a rise of 0.3%, pushing the annualized inflation clip to 1.8%.

IndexLastDaily change
DJX22,1580.18%Up
SPX2,4980.08%Up
Nasdaq6,4600.09%Up

Today’s Hot Stocks: EFX, UNFI, THC

IPOs: None

Economic Calendar

 

DAYTIME (EST)EventForecastImpact
Tuesday6:00NFIB Small Business Optimism Index104.8Medium
Tuesday10:00JOLTS6.010 MMedium
Wednesday8:30PPI0.3 %High
Wednesday10:30Oil InventoriesLow
Thursday8:30Consumer Price Index0.4 %High
Thursday8:30Jobless Claims300 KMedium
Friday8:30Retail Sales0.1 %Medium
Friday8:30Empire State Mfg Survey19.0Medium
Friday9:15Industrial Production0.1 %Medium
Friday10:00Business Inventories0.2 %Medium
Friday10:00Consumer Sentiment96.0High

 

 

Earning Calendar

 

SymbolCompanyAM/PMDay
UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.PMWednesday
ORCLOracle CorporationPMThursday

 

Today’s Picks – Day Trading!

SymbolBreakoutBreakdownMomentumMomentum
FIT6.8JDEFX
BTU31JUNOMDXG
AN46.76XECINSM
 APATRU
 DVN 
 BBY 

  

New York Strategy Swing

#DateStockLong\

Short

StatuesData CloseProfit\

Loss

12.8.2017AKAMShortClose3.8.2017-1.12%
23.8.2017NKELongClose8.8.2017+0.02%
34.8.2017SBUXShortClose16.8.2017+2.40%
48.8.2017NTAPLongClose9.8.2017-1.17%
522.8.2017ATHMLongClose23.8.2017+0.16%
623.8.2017AAPShortClose26.8.2017+0.98%
728.8.2017CREEShortClose30.8.2017-0.86%
830.8.2017TRIPLongClose11.9.2017+3.88%
91.9.2017VNTVLongOpen+1.53%
1012.9.2017CPBShortOpen +0.02%
11 
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13 
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15
16 
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Today’s Picks – Swing “New-York Strategy”

 No.1 –   SAVE

Company NameSpirit Airlines
Entry Point34.40
Stop Area35.05
1st Target33.80
Swing Target30.32
Avg. Volume1.75M
SectorServices | Major Airlines
Earning Date
Risk RateNormal
Risk\Reward Ratio3.49:1