Picks of the Day January 9, 2018.

Why 2018 Could be Another Record Year…

The S&P 500 succeeded in extending its 2018 winning streak with another victory lap yesterday! The pace of the gains did slow to a crawl, health and banking stocks weighing on market movement, investors not waiting for the opening kickoff of the Q4 2017 earnings season which will open up this coming Friday with banks’ numbers.

Yesterday, the health sector recorded the worst performance on the S&P 500, and investors are hesitant to pour money into banking firms before they release their results at the end of the week.

Daily Summary: The Dow Jones shed 0.5% of its value. The S&P 500 tacked on 0.17%, the NASDAQ rising 0.29%.

The 3 large indexes on Wall Street kicked off 2018 with the strongest four initial trading days in a decade. For the Dow Jones, it was the strongest opening since 2003, for the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, it was their strongest opening since 2006.

Historically, the first 5 trading days of the year are likely to serve as a good indicator of the direction of the entire trading year. According to Jeff Hirsch, the editor of the universally known book of statistics, The Stock Trader’s Almanac, that means that there’s an 83.7% chance that stocks will rise finish up on the year. That’s wonderful news for Wall Street, especially because historically stocks perform less well in years when mid-term congressional elections take place. Based on the above indicator, in the event the stock market rises in the first 5 trading days of the year, the chances rise that the stock market will end positively for the year. More than that, though, the “first 5 days indicator” also foreshadows significant gains on the S&P 500, i.e. yearly gains of 13.9% if the first 5 days of the year trade up, compared to average annual gains of 9.2% for the years 1950-2017.

One of the stocks that stood out in yesterday’s trading was Caterpillar (CAT), which rose 2.5% to the $166.03 level, slightly beneath the historic high it achieved during the trading day after J.P. Morgan raised its price target on the stock in light of tax reform. Trump’s bill is likely to help the infrastructure sector’s business cycle in North America in 2018.

Kohl’s (KSS) soared 4.7% after the department store chain reported stronger than expected sales in its stores over the holiday season, compared to its competitors.

GoPro (GPRO) continues to lose altitude. The stock tumbled 12.8% yesterday to a low, at the $6.56 level, after the company announced that it was open to be taking over but isn’t chasing buyout offers. At an earlier point in the day, the stock had already shed one-third of its value, dipping to $5.04, after reporting initial Q4 revenue results which came out significantly beneath the consensus; the company also announced that it had decided to exit the drone market.

On the S&P 500, 98 stocks rose to new 52-week highs, not a single stock dipping to a new yearly low; on the NASDAQ, 124 stocks recorded new 52-week highs, 26 falling to new yearly lows.

About 6.36 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, compared to the 6.28 billion average over the last 20 trading days.

Tuesday: The trading day is expected to remain relatively quiet in light of the fact that today’s economic diary will be meager. Before opening, the NFIB small business optimism index will be released. During trading, the JOLTS employment figures will be released. JOLTS numbers are the Fed’s preferred metric for assessing the employment state.

Investors are continuing to wait in anticipation for the earnings season which will reach a critical mass on Friday. That being the case, investors prefer to not become fully committed too early to any large positions.

The large, annual tech conference, the Consumer Electronics Show (CES), opened up yesterday in Las Vegas. During the conference, leading tech companies showcase their latest innovations. Tech stocks are likely to continue to respond in kind today, commanding investors’ attention.



Daily change

DJX 25,283 (0.05%) Down
SPX 2,748 0.17% Up
NASDAQ 7,157 0.29% Up



IPOs: None

Hot Stocks: URBN, STX, SHLM


Economic Calendar


DAY TIME (EST) Event Forecast Impact
Tuesday 6:00 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index 107.9  Medium
Tuesday 10:00 JOLTS 6.038 M Medium
Wednesday 8:30 Import and Export Prices 0.4 % Medium
Wednesday 10:00 Wholesale Trade 0.7 % Medium
Wednesday 10:30 Oil Inventories -7.4 M barrels Low
Thursday 8:30 Jobless Claims 245 K Medium
Thursday 8:30 PPI-FD 0.2 % Medium
Friday 8:30 Consumer Price Index 0.1 % Medium
Friday 8:30 Retail Sales 0.5 % Medium
Friday 10:00 Business Inventories 0.3 % Medium


Earning Calendar


Symbol Company AM/PM Day
HELE Helen of Troy Limited AM Monday
KB KB Financial Group Inc. AM Monday
SIG Signet Jewelers Limited AM Wednesday
LEN Lennar Corporation AM Wednesday
KBH KB Home PM Wednesday
PRGS Progress Software Corporation PM Wednesday
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. AM Thursday
PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. AM Friday
BLK BlackRock, Inc. AM Friday
WFC Wells Fargo & Company AM Friday
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. AM Friday
INFY Infosys Limited AM Friday


Today’s Picks – Day Trading!

Symbol Breakout Breakdown Momentum Momentum
W 84.19   DNOW PLAY
CRM 109.19      



New York Strategy Swing

# Date Stock Long\


Statues Data Close Profit\


1 3.11.2017 AKAM Long Close 8.11.2017 +1.37%
2 10.11.2017 JUNO Long Close 14.11.2017 +1.26%
3 16.11.2017 FLR Long Close 25.11.2017 +2.16%
4 6.12.2017 SPLK Long Close 8.12.2017 +1.51%
5 11.12.2017 NKTR Long Close 2.1.2017 +4.57%
6 18.12.2017 SYY Long Close 19.12.2017 +0.14%
7 3.1.2018 VOYA Long Close 8.1.2017 +0.67%
8 4.1.2018 TER Long Open   +2.36%


Today’s Picks – Swing “New-York Strategy”


No.1 – CENX

Company Name Century Aluminum Company
Entry Point 20
Stop Area 19.30
1st Target 20.45
Swing Target 21.78
Avg. Volume 2.30M
Sector Basic Materials | Aluminum
Earning Date 25 Jan
Risk Rate Normal
Risk\Reward Ratio 2.54:1


No.2 – SCG

Company Name SCANA Corporation
Entry Point 45.60
Stop Area 44.40
1st Target 46.20
Swing Target 49.40
Avg. Volume 2.86M
Sector Utilities | Electric Utilities
Earning Date 25 Jan
Risk Rate Normal
Risk\Reward Ratio 3.17:1